Outcome markets on Arc
Bet on theshape ofwhat happens.
Take a side or draw a forecast. Kizashi prices both on one curve and nets the collateral behind them.
The thesis
Collateral for the sum of your bets, not each one.
Bet modes
Take a side. Draw a curve.
Choose above or below a threshold, or drag the peak to express a range of outcomes.
Collateral netting
Watch a hedge reduce the backing.
One ticket needs 10 USDC of backing. Add a hedge in the same market and six units of downside cancel.
Required backing4.00 USDC
Backing saved6.00 USDC
Engine
Give the engine a rule.
A prompt becomes a proposed trade. Review its cost against the budget before approving it.
Propose a curve centred on a $145 SOL close. Keep the spend within 4 USDC.
145 USD
Proposed spend · 4.00Budget · 20.00
Market listings
Markets in motion.
Each line is the crowd’s distribution across a market’s outcomes.